What are your thoughts on the side and total (54) for this game? The Kansas Chiefs (+3) are home underdogs for the first time in Patrick Mahomes' career in a rematch of the AFC Championship game against Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. Sign up for ESPN Fantasy Basketball today. We will be watching the ultimate game of Battleship! I'll take Captain Lamar and the Ravens team total over 25.5 points (-115). Lamar has the fourth-best QB rating in the league against blitz/man coverage (136.5). However, Wink plays a ton of man and blitzes at a 43% rate. Wink was the Ravens' DC for four seasons - facing Lamar Jackson at practice and probably knows his tendencies better than any other DC in the league. I'm just as intrigued with Lamar Jackson and the Ravens traveling to New Jersey for an appointment with Wink Martindale and the N.Y. the biggest gambling story is Buffalo and K.C. Can the Bills break that streak and, more importantly, win this game?Īnita Marks: I agree with Aaron. The Chiefs are 7-0-1 against the spread when they've been underdogs with Mahomes at quarterback. As a result, I like the Jets to go over 18.5 points against the Packers and the Ravens to go over 25.5 points against the Giants, as Green Bay and New York faced each other last week across the pond.Īaron Schatz: The biggest game of the week is Buffalo and Kansas City, and that's the biggest betting storyline as well because Patrick Mahomes is a home underdog for the first time in his career. We saw it happen twice last week with the Bears eclipsing their team total against the Vikings and the Seahawks eclipsing their team total against the Saints (Minnesota and New Orleans had played in London the week prior). In those seven instances, the opponent of the London team has gone over their team total six times. There have been seven instances in which a team played in London and then immediately in America the next week without going on a bye. Joe Fortenbaugh: Teams traveling back from London.
Chalk and wire how to#
Oddsmakers and the betting market are kind of lost with how to assess power ratings with these backup quarterbacks. What is your biggest betting storyline entering Week 6?ĭoug Kezirian: On a macro level, I would say it's how many backup quarterbacks we have seen and how we handicap those games. Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook unless otherwise indicated.
Week 6 of the 2022 NFL season is the first of the year with teams on byes (Detroit, Tennessee, Las Vegas, Houston), but there are still plenty games to keep an eye on, including the Sunday night matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles.īut what does this all mean from a betting perspective? And what are the best plays to help you make smart wagering decisions?īetting analysts Doug Kezirian, Tyler Fulghum, Joe Fortenbaugh, Anita Marks and Erin Dolan, fantasy and sports betting analysts Eric Moody and Andre Snellings, ESPN Stats & Information's Seth Walder and Football Outsiders' Aaron Schatz offer their insight into the games with tips and picks.
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